01/01/2019: Today's Updates... 6.30pm...
Day 18 Of The 2018/19 Chatel Ski Season:
The hunt for snowy charts... firstly, we are still not expecting more than a dusting tonight / tomorrow from this really weak and decaying front. The Arome this evening, model is similar to this morning, and the Arpege model has eased down its predictions. There is still a chance of a light snowfall, but at the moment, this appears to be the less likely option, as dustings look more likely.
Looking further ahead and the GFS operational run has just churned out an outlook that has another 10 days of dry weather, before showing something more of interest just before mid month. The UKMO run (which we can only see out to 144hrs) is also dry, so it is down to the ECMWF charts this evening to deliver something of interest. They are not out yet, so unless they are spectacular, we'll wait until the morning runs before posting again.
It was mentioned on the forecast page that there are some interesting charts cropping up today and there is every chance that we may see something of interest again, but any interest does look likely to be beyond the 7 day time frame.
Frustrating times for those looking for snow...
The model s are currently updating on their 12z runs and we are on the hunt for snowy charts this evening - including the latest on tomorrows potential flurries. Update expected at 7pm (ish).
It is a stunningly clear start to 2019 here in Chatel with some beautiful morning weather, once the early morning fog had eased down into the lower valley areas. New Year's morning is traditionally a quiet one on the pistes and those who ventured up should have seen some pretty good conditions, after the overnight re-freeze. It looks like being a day of spring-like conditions on the ski area, as that sun does feel really quite warm and the cloud of the last couple of days has gone. However, it is all change from tomorrow, with much colder temperatures on the way.
This morning's outing was up to Mouet, which was a really pleasant trail run along nicely compacted tracks and it was rewarded by the following views.
Firstly - huge thanks for the recent tips and kind comments sent via the PayPal link on the About Us page - really appreciated and wonderful to see repeat tippers! Here’s an early graphic we posted earlier to our WhatsApp group, with some commentary, to highlight the difference we often see (but not always) in the models, between the hi-res and very hi-res, once we get close to a snowfall.
Both Arpege and Arome are Meteo France models, with Arome the highest resolution one which only runs out to 42 hours.
In this case, the higher resolution Arome model is suggesting very little snowfall - a local dusting, whereas Arpege continues its interest since yesterday, in something a bit more useful.
There will be another look at this later.
Image below from the excellent meteociel.fr website.
Happy New Year - Bonne Annee... the forecast page update is running a little late this morning... should be online at about 8am ...
How you can help this season... you will notice on some pages that there is a PayPal tip/donation box, eg on the "About Us" page, where you can send us a tip, if you like what we are doing. There is no obligation to do so, but any donations will help the running costs of this site during the winter season. The more people who help, the better we can make this site.