11/11/2019... Today's Updates... Weather Update...
There has been a bit of sleety snow in the village since the last update and there is the chance of a dusting / light covering overnight. Thereafter, the hi-res Arome has come onboard the Arpege model's forecast of a little snowfall on Tuesday night, so there is the chance of a few cm's then.
The period from Thursday to Saturday remains highly uncertain, with GFS not really interested in much in the way of snow, infact, the lastest GFS run has very little fresh snow in the next 10 days, whereas parts of N Italy and S Switzerland are showing as much as 2m of fresh snow! Hopefully it is wrong, as it often is. There remains time for the pattern to evolve more favourably for the end of the week, but the possibility of this chilly spell not delivering a big snowfall in the next 7 days is certainly there.
This afternoon, a trip was made up to Super Chatel, where we found the cables are being installed on the new Morclan chairlift, as the 2 photos below show...
Another snow factory has also arrived, though it is not yet operational.
As for snowcover, there was a thin covering of natural snow on the pistes and there was some evidence of a brief period of snowmaking having taken place.
Under cloudy skies, the next destination was Col du Saix, where a few flakes of snow were falling and there is a bit of light sleet falling in the village as this update is being posted.
Next update this evening with a look at what the latest model runs are suggesting regarding snowfall.
The weather is bright and chilly in Chatel this morning after a mostly clear night saw some snowmaking in parts of the ski area. Temperatures in the valley dropped to close to -4C. The grainy photo below shows the cannon operating on Linga last night.
So, with a promising start to the snow season already in place on the upper half of the ski area, what are the prospects for further snow this week? The situation is a fairly complex one, with mixed messages from the models. The best chance of useful snowfall is later in the week with ECMWF showing snow for Thursday and GFS showing snow on Friday. In the shorter term, there is a chance of a cm or two tonight, though the hi-res Arome only suggests a dusting. To add to the mixed messages, although most charts suggest no snow on Tuesday night, the Arpege model suggests several cm's arriving by Wednesday morning, with the WRF model showing some support for this too.
All that can be said this morning is that it is very, very difficult to know what is going to happen tonight, tomorrow night and also at the end of the week. There remains a chance of a significant snowfall showing up at relatively short notice.
More on this during the evening, once the evening model updates are available to view.