14/01/2019: Today's Updates... 6.10pm...
This afternoon's snow did not amount to very much at all, so there were a few further flurries after that brief period of snow and it has stayed mostly cloudy. Above 1400m, it is a winter wonderland at the moment, with the trees laden with snow - the photos below were from late afternoon in the Barbossine area.
We have had plenty of reports of excellent snow across the area today, though there remains some questions regarding how much snow actually fell at the higher elevations, however, conditions are generally greatly improved again with only the pistes without cannon cover still having issues.
A few further flurries are possible this evening but then the next period of interest for snowfall is the Thursday / Friday period...
Snow falling again - coming down moderately at the moment ... so a chance we could get lucky...
Snow flurries have been coming and going today, since the period of continuous, but fairly light snow this morning, which added less than a cm of fresh coverage. There are still some snow showers coming down from the northwest, so a further very light covering can't be ruled out, however, at this stage the Meteo France forecast mentioned below, looks a busted flush, as do the GFS based ones, and even our seemingly conservative 2cm forecast for the village for the period from 7am today until 7am tomorrow, may not be reached! So, unless we get lucky with a beefy shower turning up, we may not see much more snow now until the next period of interest, which is Thursday and Friday.
Awaiting news from higher up on the area today as currently unable to get up there, hence the photo below is shot from a distance. Our initial estimate is that up to 50cm of snow fell at 1800m during the period from Saturday night to this morning, but we are waiting for further reports. It does appear that generally less snow arrived than was forecast, however, all elevations have seen fresh snow, including those lower ones which also see the damper period last night.
The fresh snow has allowed a bit more of the area to open, but it looks like we are at 72% open, with the shortfall coming from the fact that the 6 black runs are officially closed. This is not too unusual, as they don't have snow cannon cover.
Snow is falling in the village, without adding much more than a dusting at the moment, and expectations are low for today, despite some forecasts going for some really useful snowfalls - eg Meteo France has a forecast on its website for 11.5cm for the village and 20.5cm for the top - which is not what we have seen from the models so far, but will monitor the situ and the precipitation radar.
Regarding the overnight situ... copied from the snow forecast page which we updated earlier...
"What we saw yesterday, was a classic case of the models underestimating the 0c isotherm with Arome about 100m to 150m out on its output this time yesterday and GFS about 300m out (ouch), which had a knock on effect on those snow/rain limits and accumulations lower down. Arome corrected during the day, whereas GFS did not and was still predicting 10cm to 15cm for the village overnight.
We mentioned on yesterday's update that the range of potential snowfalls at 1200m was very large, however, the eventual outcome was below all expectations at this elevation. Higher up, the picture should be different, but it remains to be seen how much has fallen and whether this snowfall has reached expectations at 1800m."
Bonjour - the rather damp scenatio continued overnight in the village. There has been some snowfall, but the snow cover is very wet.
3cm of wet snow has been measured this morning, bringing the total for the period since 7am yesterday to 10cm and the total for the snowfall to 22.5cm - though with temperatures above freezing, the snowpack has continued a gradual thaw overnight.
There will be further updates today when we can look higher up and before then, the forecast page will be updated between 7.30am and 7.45am...
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